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Tuesday, March 10, 2009

Are you a bootstrapper?

At SJSU, I’ve been working with some faculty colleagues to try to better explain how and why firms bootstrap. (Of course, there is a big question about what “bootstrap” means).

Last night, our Silicon Valley Center for Entrepreneurship had a panel discussion entitled “Bootstrapping Startups: The Pros and Cons.” It was moderated by angel investor, blogger and SJSU entrepreneurial finance professor Steve Bennet. His panel consisted of:
Steve opened by saying “Bootstrapping is a topic near and near to my heart.” As he noted, current difficulties of raising investment capital have raised the interest in bootstrapping.

Jon had an interesting definition of bootstrapping:
Can I approve with my management team a merger? … Do the team and I own 50.1% of the company. … Do we have the ability to exit when and if we should?
Jon noted — as I have argued for a while — that the IPO exit was extraordinary, and the normal exit for most firms is (and will be) acquisition. Thus, he argued, it is important for entrepreneurs to design their companies to be acquire-able.

Gus Alberelli’s Kennet Partners, surprisingly, specializes in investing in companies that have already bootstrapped to significant financial results. As their home page proclaims:
You’ve funded your growth the hard way: by selling real value to real customers.

You don’t need venture capital to validate your idea: the market has already done that. You need a different kind of capital.
…
The companies we invest in often do not need money to survive. They have options.

But the right investment from the right partner can help them keep ahead of their markets, expand internationally, ramp up their sales forces and lead to greater value for shareholders.
This is a very thoughtful argument for the bootstrap strategy (and their ability to profit from them). They have detailed pages on why this helps entrepreneurs, and how they choose firms. They have an entire page about bootstrapping, and a white paper entitled “Bootstrap Your Business for Success.”

During Q&A, Gus said they looked for two key things: “Do you have a repeatable sales model and is there a big enough market?” Unlike other VCs, they claim to be agnostic as to whether they will keep the founding CEO (and grow his/her skills) or bring someone else in.

I didn’t take as careful set of notes for Ilya (my former student), because he had a one hour presentation to my day class that had many more details. At that session, he listed some of the key bootstrapping challenges:
  • Lots of work
  • Difficulties in attracting a good team
  • Small volumes mean less buying power and higher COGS
  • Slower growth
  • High level of stress on personal life
Starting with limited funds, the bootstrapper’s way out is to acquire customers quickly that pay the bills. Ilya number one piece of advice:
  • Look for customers that are most likely to buy quickly
  • Don’t target big segments that will take longer and are less likely to pay off
I am hoping that the panel will end up on the web or iTunes U. If so, I’ll add a link.

Finally, I want to end where Steve started: with a humorous quiz on bootstrapping, crafted by Greg Gianforte, founder of RightNow Technologies. (Angel Tim Keane has the full quiz online). The theme of the quiz is a self-assessment of the reader’s bootstrapping abilities (or proclivities).

My favorite question:
5. Your product does not do everything a prospect wants. You should?
a. Tell them it won't do those things;
b. Get them to pay for the enhancements;
c. Take the order and tell them it will ship in four weeks;
d. Explain why those things are difficult to do and convince them to buy the current product.
This was funny because it was so real: it exactly fits my experience as the head of a software company that bootstrapped from a $12,500 staring investment to a seven-figure run rate.

Update 1:45pm: Steve Bennet has summarized his own views of the event.

Friday, January 30, 2009

VCs vs. entrepreneurs

To be successful, any sort of business deal must align conflicting interests. In thinking about venture capital, the decision of entrepreneurs to seek (and accept) VC investments assumes that both parties want the company to succeed, and the only conflict is over the terms of the investment (particularly the dilution).

However, a couple of recent blog posts highlight a second, equally important category of conflicting interests: control over the timing of exit.

On AngelBlog, Basil Peters recounts an example of a tech startup with a chance to exit via acquisition, one that would produce a 3x return for VCs, and perhaps 10x for the angels and 100x for entrepreneurs. The problem is that the VC needs a bigger return (the home run) from its winners to cover its losers. This is consistent with the story of VC investment math told by Bob Zider a decade ago in his HBR article, “How Venture Capital Works.”

Of course, such an early offer may mark a peak in the company’s valuation — in an increasingly competitive segment (as in the Peters example), the total return will only go down. Once faced with an obviously worsening situation — whether firm-specific problems or an increasingly unprofitable industry — VC are known to pull the plug prematurely, saving management attention for the likely winners rather than spending more time salvaging a “dog.” In my SD Telecom study, we had to interview one founder in the final few days before the VCs closed the door forever.

The other point is that, come hell or high water, the VCs will liquidate their investment before their investment fund matures and must return capital (and earnings) to its principals. As VCs freely admit, this means they seek a quick exit — ideally 3-5 years, with 7 years at the outside. Blogger Sigurd Rinde of Germany notes the disconnect between achieving VC objectives, and the goal of many tech entrepreneurs of creating long-term value.

I had a slow growth, bootstrap startup, which never sought (nor was suitable) for VC. This had its pluses and minuses, but it’s clear (as I used to say back then) that taking VC is like starting a time bomb: you have to come up with an answer before it goes off, or you’re dead.

Monday, January 26, 2009

Best business planning books

This semester I’m teaching a business plan course for the first time since I left UCI in 2002. (I did use a business plan assignment in a 2006 strategy class — more on that later.) The course is an elective for both our undergraduate entrepreneurship and management majors, although I have a few students from other colleges on campus. At the suggestion of a local VC, we are shifting the title and emphasis of the course from strictly business plans to “Planning the New Venture.”

Although I use textbooks for core courses to cover the recommended corpus of knowledge, where possible I try to use regular (i.e. trade paperback) books for electives. They tend to be more readable, cheaper, more likely to be kept after graduation and more representative of what students will read after they graduate. So in preparing for the class, I searched on the Internet and Amazon for books related to business plans.

In 2006, I asked students to write business plans without much information on how to do it, other than walking them through our standard template, which was derived from the U. Maryland BPC. Both versions were derived originally from the standard MBA entrepreneurship textbook by the dean of entrepreneurship scholars, the late Jeff Timmons.

This year, I wanted to give them more help on the two most difficult tasks — estimating revenues and estimating costs — while also covering the broader questions of starting a new business. After buying five books and getting a 6th from the library, I eventually settled on three books.

The first book I picked was the smaller (and cheaper) Timmons paperback, entitled Business Plans that Work. It‘s not complete, but for an undergraduate course it gives a good consistent way of looking at the problem, and (not surprisingly) matches well to our (i.e. Timmons) BP format.

The second book I chose was Bankable Business Plans by Edward Rogoff. I did not expect to like the book, and with its “action steps” (rather than chapters) it’s a bit of a scattershot. However, I found it a nice complement to the Timmons text. In some areas, it’s much more concrete than Timmons, including one of the most important blind spots from 3 years ago — setting up a sales process.

These two books would have been enough for our 15 week course, if I had built a reader with 4-6 other articles to supplement the gaps in coverage. Together, they are only $28 at Amazon — a steal for anyone involved in entrepreneurship.

However, I wanted to give students a little more of the big picture of starting a business, including a sense of why they want to be entrepreneurs in the first place. In the end, I decided to use Guy Kawasaki’s The Art of the Start, which turned out to be much more substantive than any previous Kawasaki book I’d read. Still, I see Kawasaki and this book as a motivational speaker — identifying some important tricks and traps — rather than providing a business plan checklist.

One problem I’ve found in teaching entrepreneurship — with all the work of Timmons, and also many competing academics — is too much of an emphasis on venture capital-funded IPO-oriented startups. Kawasaki nicely balances this out with an entire chapter on bootstrapping, which (as he notes) can also be used by VC-bound companies to bridge between 3F money and their first professional capital. This nicely fits my course goal, which is to help students to identify the most appropriate funding approach for their idea and industry context.

The VC-centric counterpart to Kawasaki’s book is Raising Venture Capital for the Serious Entrepreneur by Dermot Berkery, a former McKinsey consultant turned VC and MBA lecturer in Dublin. It came highly recommended on Amazon, and after reading it, I saw why. It really walks entrepreneurs through the funding process — as VCs see it — and explains what they must do (and why) to put their best foot forward.

I decided not to use it this year for two reasons. First, it’s so VC centric that it would have undercut my message about being funding agnostic, and secondly, it’s more suitable for those already in business or graduate students. I would strongly consider it if I were teaching high growth-startups in the Stanford or Berkeley engineering school, and I’ll also recommended it for our new venture finance class.

Beyond the classroom, I would also recommend both the Berkery and Kawasaki books for those already in a startup. Despite 20+ years thinking about startups (as a founder, research, teacher and consultant) I picked up valuable tidbits from both — either things I didn’t know, or different ways of thinking about familiar problems. For example, Chapter 2 of Berkery’s book emphasized the importance of identifying 3-4 alternative exit strategies, so that investors (and founders) can still succeed if the initial plan is blocked.

One book that did not fit my immediate goals was The Business Plan Is Dead by Jeffrey Wofford. I’ll write more about it some other time.

Saturday, January 24, 2009

Raising capital in difficult times

In the past six months, it’s become even more difficult for otherwise promising tech startups to new or follow-on funding. On October 7, the now-infamous Sequoia PowerPoint deck advised their (mainly high- tech) portfolio companies:
New Realities
$15M Raise @ $100M post[-money valuation] is gone
Series B/C will be smaller raises
Customer uptake will be slower
Cuts are a must
Need to become cash flow positive
While some suggested this was a bargaining tactic by Sequoia to lower valuations, startup companies now face a double-whammy of declining demand by business and consumers and less availability of investment funds.

Of even more concern to the VCs, exit strategies will be more rare, less lucrative and more time consuming:
Increased Challenges
M&A will decrease
Prices will decrease
Acquiring entities will favor profitable companies
IPOs will continue to decrease and will take longer
Since VCs won’t be able to cash in their investments for a long time, they must set aside more money to keep alive a smaller number of companies.

In Thursday’s Wall Street Journal, veteran tech industry reporter Pui-Wing Tam wrote about [also here] the dilemma faced by a small Oakland-based VC fund:
Claremont Creek Ventures recently had to decide which of its young to forsake.
…
Amid the financial crisis and the plunging stock market, Claremont Creek decided to focus on the fund's best investments and stop backing the less-promising start-ups. It wanted to be sure it had enough cash for the next few years for the winners. The venture firm ranked the start-ups in the fund's 16-company portfolio with an A, B or C grade.

"We're doubling down on the As and likely won't invest any more capital in the C companies," says John Steuart, a Claremont Creek managing director. "The portfolio is competing against itself and it's survival of the fittest. It's brutal."
Angel investor and fellow SJSU entrepreneurship teacher Steve Bennet is one of the few who has beat the odds. In his ProfessorVC blog, he explains how one of his portfolio companies raised $6 million in Series C funds.

For those that have already tapped 3F money and can’t raise professional money, the choices are pretty clear: sell the company, stop operations or find a way to bootstrap.

Steve will be moderating a March 9th panel on bootstrapping at the Silicon Valley Center for Entrepreneurship. More details on the program when they are available.

Tuesday, January 13, 2009

Tech startups are always an experiment

Last fall, I taught entrepreneurship for only the second time since I got to SJSU. (I’d previously taught it as an adjunct at UCI, building more on my experience as an entrepreneur than any formal preparation).

About 2/3 of the way through the semester, as part of making a point about the lack of sufifcient information in any startup situation, I wrote on the board
Business is an experiment
which will become the mantra for all my future entrepreneurship courses.

To explain my thinking further:
  • if you’re doing something new whether new to the firm or new to the world — the answer doesn’t exist;
  • in a startup, for many questions you won’t have the time (or money) to get a definitive answer; so
  • you need to make and implement a decision with the recognition that the experiment may fail — and thus both look for signs of failure and find an expedient way to mitigate against (rather than prevent) such failure.
That leads me to an an interesting quote from Carol Bartz (newly appointed Yahoo CEO). It came from her 2001 talk at Stanford about encouraging entrepreneurship in established companies: at that time she was CEO of Autodesk, the CAD software company.

As an aside, I’d disagree with her use of the term “entrepreneurship”: if you use the term to refer to any form of innovation or business initiative, then the term doesn’t have any real meaning. While “corporate entrepreneurship” is a bit of an oxymoron, at least it demarks a form of initiative distinct from starting a new company.

However, I couldn’t agree more with her on the philosophy she brought to Autodesk to deal with the turbulent dot-com era, a philosophy she called “Fast Fail Forward.” As transcribed by Scott Fulton of Beta News:
I had to do this during the dot-com time, where everybody panicked and decided that you guys [Stanford students] were going to rule the world. … [P]eople got even more cemented in and scared to take risks, because what did it mean in an established company?

So we started this thing called 'fail-fast-forward,' and the whole idea is, listen, failure is very acceptable. When it happens, make sure you identify it quickly, and hopefully it's in a forward motion. And then start going again.
In other words, nothing new happens without risk, and the only way to deal with risk is to accept it rather than try to completely prevent it.

Hat tip: to Scott M. Fulton, III of BetaNews.

Friday, December 12, 2008

Hewlett & Packard, Bacon & Morgan

Earlier this week, Merc columnist Mike Cassidy wrote a touching tribute to entrepreneurial engineer Karl Bacon, who died Nov. 14 at age 98:
In 1946, Bacon and partner Ed Morgan opened the Arrow Development Co. in Mountain View. The two were a tight team who started out doing some machine work for HP and just about anything else that would bring cash through the door. Bacon was the math mind, a self-taught engineer who tended to figure out what needed to be made while Morgan concentrated on how to manufacture it.

Then Morgan got the idea that they could build a merry-go-round for the city of San Jose, which they did. Soon a man named Walt Disney was talking to them about coming up with some rides for a new park he was opening in Anaheim. They did that, too.

Mr. Toad's Wild Ride, Mad Tea Party, Dumbo the Flying Elephant, It's a Small World, Alice in Wonderland, Matterhorn Bobsleds, Pirates of the Caribbean, Haunted Mansion and more.

"They did most of the rides in Fantasyland," says Jane Bacon, 87, Karl's wife of 67 years.
The article goes on to talk about all their other major contributions to amusement park rides. While we don’t think of this as a high tech business, during its heyday 40-50 years ago, this was obviously state of the art.

Other tributes on the Internet include a discussion of their Matterhorn design, and the bio on Amusement Today, and a review of the book about them. Amazon also sells that book, which documents their 20 year relationship with Uncle Walt and his fantasy-land.

Saturday, November 15, 2008

Engineering is "sexy" again?

At least Business Week pundit Vivek Wadhwa seems to think so. (Something about Wall Street jobs being in short supply nowadays).